GodPicks Founder
Value en no favoritos. Cuotas de 2.50 en adelante, pocos picks y cada uno con su porqué. El beneficio está en el precio, no en el acierto.
Tipster total (all their circuits)
Breakdown by circuit
- Deporte USA/Canadáyou are here6 · +10.81 units
- Fútbol Europa Segunda Línea41 · -13.87 units
- Fútbol Américas31 · +14.13 units
- Tenis15 · -14.79 units
- Fútbol Resto del Mundo y Selecciones15 · -3.38 units
- Baloncesto6 · -1.20 units
Every yield on this page is the real one, unweighted. The one weighted by competition and bookmaker liquidity — the one that feeds the rating, and which does not match this one — lives in the rating breakdown further down.
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Insufficient track recordIn this circuit — Deporte USA/Canadá
best streak 5 · worst streak 1
Shaded band: the range the result could fall in by pure luck with no real edge at all. Once the curve steps outside it, luck alone stops explaining it.
- units
- +10.8
- Yield
- +90.1%
- max. drawdown
- −2.0
The deepest fall of the bank from a peak, in units. What someone joining at the worst moment would have endured.
Shaded band: the range the result could fall in by pure luck with no real edge at all. Once the curve steps outside it, luck alone stops explaining it.
- units
- +5.4
- Yield
- +90.1%
- max. drawdown
- −1.0
The deepest fall of the bank from a peak, in units. What someone joining at the worst moment would have endured.
The same history as if every pick had risked exactly 1 unit. If these figures resemble the real ones, the profit comes from picking well; if they diverge a lot, it comes from juggling stakes.
Skill vs luck
Over a few dozen picks, the actual result is mostly noise. The signal of judgement is beating the market's closing price — this separates the two.
What this history should have returned if every pick paid exactly its edge over the close.
The real result of those same picks.
Running hot: the result is ahead of what the edge justifies.
Over 3 picks with a closing price. The gap is variance and shrinks as the sample grows: long term, results converge to what the edge justifies.
Month-by-month result
1/1 months closed in profit
- +10.8Aug
What is left if you arrive late
The yield published everywhere is the one from the exact second the tipster sends the pick. You get there a few minutes later, and by then the odds have moved. This is what you would have got.
| Delay | picks | Odds movement | Tipster's yield | Your yield | Retained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 min | 3 | 0.0% | +39.5% | +39.5% | 100% |
| 5 min | 3 | 0.0% | +39.5% | +39.5% | 100% |
| 15 min | 3 | 0.0% | +39.5% | +39.5% | 100% |
| 60 min | 3 | -0.9% | +39.5% | +38.9% | 98% |
Worked out from the market's own price history: for each pick we check which odds were still available after those minutes. Picks we could not measure are left out, and voided ones too. Odds shortening is not a bad sign — it usually means the market agreed with them.
Performance by competition
Where they build their record, and with what result, sorted by number of picks. The yield is the real, unweighted one, same as everywhere else on this page.
| Competition | picks | Accuracy | units | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 6 | 83% | +10.8 | +90.1% |
▸ Rating breakdown
- Weighted yield
- 91.6 (90.1%)
- Consistency
- 98.0 (100% positive months, max. drawdown 2.0%)
- Calibrated CLV
- 37.0 (avg. CLV -2.59%)
- Discipline
- 50.0
Latest picks
- WON
MLB — Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays
Odds 2.18sealed at Betfair Exchange - WON
MLB — Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers — Chicago Cubs
Odds 2.12sealed at Betfair Exchange - WON
MLB — Texas Rangers vs San Francisco Giants — San Francisco Giants
Odds 2.14sealed at Betfair Exchange - WON
MLB — Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds 2.36sealed at Betfair Exchange - WON
MLB — New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals
Odds 2.94sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
MLB — Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals
Odds 2.48sealed at Betfair Exchange
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