GodPicks Founder
Value en no favoritos. Cuotas de 2.50 en adelante, pocos picks y cada uno con su porqué. El beneficio está en el precio, no en el acierto.
Tipster total (all their circuits)
Breakdown by circuit
- Fútbol Europa Segunda Líneayou are here41 · -13.87 units
- Fútbol Américas31 · +14.13 units
- Tenis15 · -14.79 units
- Fútbol Resto del Mundo y Selecciones15 · -3.38 units
- Deporte USA/Canadá6 · +10.81 units
- Baloncesto6 · -1.20 units
Every yield on this page is the real one, unweighted. The one weighted by competition and bookmaker liquidity — the one that feeds the rating, and which does not match this one — lives in the rating breakdown further down.
Subscribe to this tipster
Insufficient track recordIn this circuit — Fútbol Europa Segunda Línea
best streak 2 · worst streak 10
Shaded band: the range the result could fall in by pure luck with no real edge at all. Once the curve steps outside it, luck alone stops explaining it.
- units
- -13.9
- Yield
- -18.3%
- max. drawdown
- −25.1
The deepest fall of the bank from a peak, in units. What someone joining at the worst moment would have endured.
Shaded band: the range the result could fall in by pure luck with no real edge at all. Once the curve steps outside it, luck alone stops explaining it.
- units
- -5.7
- Yield
- -13.9%
- max. drawdown
- −13.3
The deepest fall of the bank from a peak, in units. What someone joining at the worst moment would have endured.
The same history as if every pick had risked exactly 1 unit. If these figures resemble the real ones, the profit comes from picking well; if they diverge a lot, it comes from juggling stakes.
Skill vs luck
Over a few dozen picks, the actual result is mostly noise. The signal of judgement is beating the market's closing price — this separates the two.
What this history should have returned if every pick paid exactly its edge over the close.
The real result of those same picks.
Running cold: the result is behind what the edge justifies.
Over 34 picks with a closing price. The gap is variance and shrinks as the sample grows: long term, results converge to what the edge justifies.
Month-by-month result
1/2 months closed in profit
- +3.3Jul
- -17.1Aug
What is left if you arrive late
The yield published everywhere is the one from the exact second the tipster sends the pick. You get there a few minutes later, and by then the odds have moved. This is what you would have got.
| Delay | picks | Odds movement | Tipster's yield | Your yield | Retained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 min | 33 | +0.1% | -20.2% | -20.0% | — |
| 5 min | 33 | +0.1% | -20.2% | -20.3% | — |
| 15 min | 33 | +0.1% | -20.2% | -20.6% | — |
| 60 min | 33 | +0.2% | -20.2% | -20.4% | — |
Worked out from the market's own price history: for each pick we check which odds were still available after those minutes. Picks we could not measure are left out, and voided ones too. Odds shortening is not a bad sign — it usually means the market agreed with them.
Performance by competition
Where they build their record, and with what result, sorted by number of picks. The yield is the real, unweighted one, same as everywhere else on this page.
| Competition | picks | Accuracy | units | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Bundesliga | 5 | 50% | +4.1 | +41.3% |
| Noruega Eliteserien | 5 | 20% | -1.2 | -11.6% |
| Suecia Allsvenskan | 5 | 0% | -8.0 | -100.0% |
| Polonia Ekstraklasa | 5 | 0% | -9.0 | -100.0% |
| Dinamarca Superliga | 5 | 0% | -9.0 | -100.0% |
| Escocia Premiership | 4 | 0% | -8.0 | -100.0% |
| Irlanda League of Ireland | 3 | 67% | +9.7 | +161.4% |
| Suecia Superettan | 3 | 67% | +9.0 | +150.3% |
| Finlandia Veikkausliiga | 3 | 33% | -1.5 | -30.6% |
| EFL Cup | 2 | 50% | +2.0 | +66.3% |
| Suiza Super League | 1 | 0% | -2.0 | -100.0% |
▸ Rating breakdown
- Weighted yield
- 25.8 (-18.0%)
- Consistency
- 24.9 (50% positive months, max. drawdown 25.1%)
- Calibrated CLV
- 49.0 (avg. CLV -0.20%)
- Discipline
- 50.0
Division history
- 2026-07THIRD6 picks
Latest picks
- WON
EFL Cup — York City FC vs Crawley Town — Crawley Town
Odds 5.20sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
Escocia Premiership — Celtic Glasgow vs Dundee FC — Dundee FC
Odds 16.00sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
EFL Cup — York City FC vs Crawley Town — Empate
Odds 4.20sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
Suecia Superettan — Orebro SK vs IFK Varnamo — Empate
Odds 3.65sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
Suecia Allsvenskan — Halmstads BK vs IK Sirius — Empate
Odds 5.60sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
Suecia Allsvenskan — Djurgardens IF vs Vasteraas SK — Empate
Odds 5.10sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
Polonia Ekstraklasa — KS Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin — Empate
Odds 3.20sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
Dinamarca Superliga — Odense Boldklub vs Soenderjyske — Empate
Odds 3.80sealed at Betfair Exchange - WON
Finlandia Veikkausliiga — Seinajoen JK vs HJK Helsinki — Seinajoen JK
Odds 3.60sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
Noruega Eliteserien — SK Brann vs Rosenborg BK — Empate
Odds 4.10sealed at Betfair Exchange
Ratings and comments
No comments yet.