GodPicks

GodPicks Founder

Value en no favoritos. Cuotas de 2.50 en adelante, pocos picks y cada uno con su porqué. El beneficio está en el precio, no en el acierto.

THIRDTenis · UNDERDOG28% in their band
VolumeRiskCLVConsistencySpecialization

Tipster total (all their circuits)

Settled picks
114
124 published in total
Accuracy
34.8%
Units
-8.30
Real yield
-3.8%
Overall rating
48.4

Every yield on this page is the real one, unweighted. The one weighted by competition and bookmaker liquidity — the one that feeds the rating, and which does not match this one — lives in the rating breakdown further down.

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In this circuitTenis

Rating (0-100)
Shown once 80 settled picks are reached. 65 to go.
Followers
0
users who keep them in a pack or subscribe to them
Current streak
1
wins in a row
best streak 1 · worst streak 7
Money the market took
366
Median amount the market accepted at the sealed price, across 6 measured picks. The tightest one took 68 €.
Average odds
2.31
Settled picks
15
Accuracy
20.0%
Units
-14.79
Real yield
-51.0%

Skill vs luck

Over a few dozen picks, the actual result is mostly noise. The signal of judgement is beating the market's closing price — this separates the two.

Expected by CLVActually won
+2.10-20.7
Jul 26Aug 26
Expected by CLV
+0.0 units

What this history should have returned if every pick paid exactly its edge over the close.

Actually won
-14.8 units

The real result of those same picks.

Gap (variance)
-14.8 units

Running cold: the result is behind what the edge justifies.

Over 15 picks with a closing price. The gap is variance and shrinks as the sample grows: long term, results converge to what the edge justifies.

Month-by-month result

1/2 months closed in profit

  • -15.8
    Jul
  • +1.0
    Aug

What is left if you arrive late

The yield published everywhere is the one from the exact second the tipster sends the pick. You get there a few minutes later, and by then the odds have moved. This is what you would have got.

DelaypicksOdds movementTipster's yieldYour yieldRetained
2 min3+0.5%+19.8%+21.7%110%
5 min3+0.0%+19.8%+21.7%110%
15 min3+0.5%+19.8%+21.7%110%
60 min3-0.4%+19.8%+21.7%110%

Worked out from the market's own price history: for each pick we check which odds were still available after those minutes. Picks we could not measure are left out, and voided ones too. Odds shortening is not a bad sign — it usually means the market agreed with them.

Performance by competition

Where they build their record, and with what result, sorted by number of picks. The yield is the real, unweighted one, same as everywhere else on this page.

CompetitionpicksAccuracyunitsYield
ATP 2501217%-15.8-65.8%
ATP Torneos250%+2.0+49.8%
WTA Torneos10%-1.0-100.0%
Rating breakdown
Weighted yield
6.3 (-51.0%)
Consistency
31.2 (50% positive months, max. drawdown 18.8%)
Calibrated CLV
51.0 (avg. CLV 0.20%)
Discipline
50.0

Division history

  • 2026-07THIRD12 picks

Latest picks

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