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15 verified picks · average odds 2.37 · mostly Tenis · since July 2026
Tipster total (all their circuits)
Breakdown by circuit
- Fútbol Europa Segunda Líneayou are here6 · -0.08 units
- Tenis7 · -5.12 units
- Fútbol Américas2 · +2.87 units
- Deporte USA/Canadá0 · +0.00 units
- Fútbol Resto del Mundo y Selecciones0 · +0.00 units
Every yield on this page is the real one, unweighted. The one weighted by competition and bookmaker liquidity — the one that feeds the rating, and which does not match this one — lives in the rating breakdown further down.
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Insufficient track recordIn this circuit — Fútbol Europa Segunda Línea
best streak 1 · worst streak 1
Shaded band: the range the result could fall in by pure luck with no real edge at all. Once the curve steps outside it, luck alone stops explaining it.
- units
- -0.1
- Yield
- -1.3%
- max. drawdown
- −1.1
The deepest fall of the bank from a peak, in units. What someone joining at the worst moment would have endured.
Shaded band: the range the result could fall in by pure luck with no real edge at all. Once the curve steps outside it, luck alone stops explaining it.
- units
- -0.1
- Yield
- -1.3%
- max. drawdown
- −1.1
The deepest fall of the bank from a peak, in units. What someone joining at the worst moment would have endured.
The same history as if every pick had risked exactly 1 unit. If these figures resemble the real ones, the profit comes from picking well; if they diverge a lot, it comes from juggling stakes.
Skill vs luck
Over a few dozen picks, the actual result is mostly noise. The signal of judgement is beating the market's closing price — this separates the two.
What this history should have returned if every pick paid exactly its edge over the close.
The real result of those same picks.
Running cold: the result is behind what the edge justifies.
Over 3 picks with a closing price. The gap is variance and shrinks as the sample grows: long term, results converge to what the edge justifies.
Month-by-month result
0/1 months closed in profit
- -0.1Jul
Performance by competition
Where they build their record, and with what result, sorted by number of picks. The yield is the real, unweighted one, same as everywhere else on this page.
| Competition | picks | Accuracy | units | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Bundesliga | 2 | 100% | +0.9 | +42.5% |
| Noruega Eliteserien | 2 | 50% | +0.1 | +3.5% |
| Polonia Ekstraklasa | 2 | 0% | -1.0 | -50.0% |
▸ Rating breakdown
- Weighted yield
- 53.4 (7.4%)
- Consistency
- 0.0 (0% positive months, max. drawdown 1.1%)
- Calibrated CLV
- 85.2 (avg. CLV 7.04%)
- Discipline
- 50.0
Division history
- 2026-07THIRD6 picks
Latest picks
- VOID
Austria Bundesliga — LASK vs Grazer AK — Over 3
Odds 2.31sealed at Pinnacle - WON
Austria Bundesliga — LASK vs Grazer AK — LASK (-0.75)
Odds 1.85sealed at Pinnacle - WON
Noruega Eliteserien — Bodø/Glimt vs Lillestrom — Bodø/Glimt (-2)
Odds 2.07sealed at Pinnacle - LOST
Noruega Eliteserien — Vålerenga vs HamKam — Vålerenga (-1)
Odds 2.02sealed at Pinnacle - LOST
Polonia Ekstraklasa — Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Białystok — Motor Lublin
Odds 2.90sealed at Pinnacle - VOID
Polonia Ekstraklasa — Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź — Wisła Płock (0)
Odds 2.17sealed at Pinnacle
Ratings and comments
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