Last pick 3 days ago
kepaaaso
Analista de fútbol y tipster desde 2010. Especializado en las principales ligas europeas. Picks basados en análisis estadístico, forma, xG, tendencias y contexto. Busco valor real en las cuotas, priorizando objetividad y transparencia.
THIRDFútbol Europa Élite · FAVOURITES95 % in their band
In this speciality — Fútbol Europa Élite
+12.63units, with every price sealed by the market at publication.
Settled picks
65
Accuracy
70.3 %
Real yield
+15.2 %
Average CLV
+0.61 %
measured on 63 picks
Closing yield
+15.0 %
on 63 picks · at sealed odds: +14.7 % · CLV of those 63: +0.61 %
Bookmaker margin
0.72 %
average of 59 picks
Rating (0-100)
69.1
provisionalBased on 65 settled picks. It becomes final at 80.
VolumeRiskCLVConsistencySpecialization
Odds you could take
5 followers
In play now
No picks to play in Fútbol Europa Élite right now.
Scoreboard
settled automaticallyTipster total
Settled picks
83
Accuracy
72.0 %
Units
+16.49
Real yield
+16.3 %
Average CLV
+0.47 %
measured on 80 picks
Closing yield
+15.8 %
on 80 picks · at sealed odds: +15.2 % · CLV of those 80: +0.47 %
Bookmaker margin
0.83 %
average of 76 picks
Overall rating
65.6
Breakdown by speciality
- Fútbol Europa Éliteyou are here65 · +12.63 units
- Fútbol Europa Segunda Línea10 ·
Not selling subscriptions yet
3/4Here you only get to charge once you have proven it with numbers, and these are theirs right now. Nobody decides it by looking at them: either they meet them or they do not.
- Weighted yield: 15.6% of 4%
- Rating: 69.1 of 55
- Settled picks: 65 of 100
- Days since your first pick: 57 of 30
In this speciality — Fútbol Europa Élite
Rating (0-100)
69.1
provisionalBased on 65 settled picks. It becomes final at 80.
Current streak
▲ 2
wins in a row
best streak 7 · worst streak 3
best streak 7 · worst streak 3
An average month
+4.21
Net units in an average month, across the 3 months they have published in. It's what yield doesn't tell you: how much moves per month.
Could be copied
11 322 €
Median money the market took at their price, across the 65 picks with measured liquidity. A yield built on picks that hold fifteen euros is not replicable.
Money the market took
11 322 €
Median amount the market accepted at the sealed price, across 65 measured picks. The tightest one took 23 €.
Average odds
1.69
Over a few dozen picks, the actual result is mostly noise. The signal of judgement is beating the market's closing price — this separates the two.
Expected by CLVActually won
+22.60−2.9
2/2 months closed in profit
- +3.8Aug
- +4.8Sep
- +4.0in progress
The yield published everywhere is the one from the exact second the tipster sends the pick. You get there a few minutes later, and by then the odds have moved. This is what you would have got.
| Delay | picks | Odds movement | Tipster's yield | Your yield | Retained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 min | 63 | 0.0 % | +14.7 % | +14.7 % | 100 % |
| 5 min | 63 | 0.0 % | +14.7 % | +14.7 % | 100 % |
| 15 min | 63 | +0.0 % | +14.7 % | +15.0 % | 102 % |
| 60 min | 61 | −0.1 % | +13.6 % | +13.8 % | 101 % |
Where they build their record, and with what result, sorted by number of picks. The yield is the real, unweighted one, same as everywhere else on this page.
| Competition | picks | Accuracy | units | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 18 | 71 % | −7.3 | −27.0 % |
| Champions League | 13 | 69 % | +1.2 | +9.1 % |
| Serie A | 12 |
▸ Rating breakdown
- Weighted yield
- 65.1 (15.6 %)
- Consistency
- 88.0 (100 % positive months, drawdown over amount staked 12.0 %)
- Calibrated CLV
- 51.5 (avg. CLV 0.61 %)
- Discipline
- 72.2
- 2026-09THIRD26 picks
- 2026-08THIRD15 picks
Ratings and comments
No comments yet.