Plaotips Founder
15 verified picks · average odds 2.37 · mostly Tenis · since July 2026
Tipster total (all their circuits)
Breakdown by circuit
Every yield on this page is the real one, unweighted. The one weighted by competition and bookmaker liquidity — the one that feeds the rating, and which does not match this one — lives in the rating breakdown further down.
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Insufficient track recordIn this circuit — Tenis
best streak 1 · worst streak 5
Shaded band: the range the result could fall in by pure luck with no real edge at all. Once the curve steps outside it, luck alone stops explaining it.
- units
- -5.1
- Yield
- -73.1%
- max. drawdown
- −5.1
The deepest fall of the bank from a peak, in units. What someone joining at the worst moment would have endured.
Shaded band: the range the result could fall in by pure luck with no real edge at all. Once the curve steps outside it, luck alone stops explaining it.
- units
- -5.1
- Yield
- -73.1%
- max. drawdown
- −5.1
The deepest fall of the bank from a peak, in units. What someone joining at the worst moment would have endured.
The same history as if every pick had risked exactly 1 unit. If these figures resemble the real ones, the profit comes from picking well; if they diverge a lot, it comes from juggling stakes.
Skill vs luck
Over a few dozen picks, the actual result is mostly noise. The signal of judgement is beating the market's closing price — this separates the two.
What this history should have returned if every pick paid exactly its edge over the close.
The real result of those same picks.
Running cold: the result is behind what the edge justifies.
Over 5 picks with a closing price. The gap is variance and shrinks as the sample grows: long term, results converge to what the edge justifies.
Month-by-month result
0/2 months closed in profit
- -4.0Jul
- -1.1Aug
What is left if you arrive late
The yield published everywhere is the one from the exact second the tipster sends the pick. You get there a few minutes later, and by then the odds have moved. This is what you would have got.
| Delay | picks | Odds movement | Tipster's yield | Your yield | Retained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 min | 3 | -0.2% | -37.2% | -37.5% | — |
| 5 min | 3 | -0.2% | -37.2% | -37.5% | — |
| 15 min | 3 | -0.2% | -37.2% | -37.5% | — |
| 60 min | 3 | +0.4% | -37.2% | -37.5% | — |
Worked out from the market's own price history: for each pick we check which odds were still available after those minutes. Picks we could not measure are left out, and voided ones too. Odds shortening is not a bad sign — it usually means the market agreed with them.
Performance by competition
Where they build their record, and with what result, sorted by number of picks. The yield is the real, unweighted one, same as everywhere else on this page.
| Competition | picks | Accuracy | units | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP Torneos | 3 | 33% | -1.1 | -37.2% |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0% | -2.0 | -100.0% |
| WTA Torneos | 2 | 0% | -2.0 | -100.0% |
▸ Rating breakdown
- Weighted yield
- 12.1 (-73.1%)
- Consistency
- 0.0 (0% positive months, max. drawdown 5.1%)
- Calibrated CLV
- 0.0 (avg. CLV -1.72%)
- Discipline
- 50.0
Division history
- 2026-07THIRD4 picks
Latest picks
- PENDING
ATP Torneos — Nakashima, Brandon vs Altmaier, Daniel — Altmaier, Daniel
Odds 4.00sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
ATP Torneos — Atmane, Terence vs Draper, Jack — Draper, Jack (-3.5)
Odds 2.30sealed at Betfair Exchange - WON
ATP Torneos — Sonego, Lorenzo vs Griekspoor, Tallon — Griekspoor, Tallon
Odds 1.93sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
ATP Torneos — Zheng, Michael vs Nishikori, Kei — Nishikori, Kei
Odds 3.00sealed at Betfair Exchange - LOST
WTA Torneos — Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osaka — Naomi Osaka (-5.5)
Odds 2.05sealed at Pinnacle - LOST
WTA Torneos — Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya — Anna Kalinskaya
Odds 3.39sealed at Pinnacle - LOST
ATP 250 — Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto — Emma Navarro (-4)
Odds 2.02sealed at Pinnacle - LOST
ATP 250 — Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzak — Taylor Fritz (-4)
Odds 2.62sealed at Pinnacle
Ratings and comments
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