Last pick 1 day ago
Sarracino
I have extensive experience in sports betting and focus exclusively on football betting. ⚽📊I share my match analysis and predictions with passion, dedication, and careful research.
THIRDFútbol Europa Élite · FAVOURITES100 % in their band
In this speciality — Fútbol Europa Élite
+2.17units, with every price sealed by the market at publication.
Settled picks
24
Accuracy
69.6 %
Real yield
+6.0 %
Average CLV
+0.35 %
measured on 23 picks
Closing yield
+5.0 %
on 23 picks · at sealed odds: +6.2 % · CLV of those 23: +0.35 %
Bookmaker margin
0.72 %
average of 24 picks
Rating (0-100)
48.7
provisionalBased on 24 settled picks. It becomes final at 80.
VolumeRiskCLVConsistencySpecialization
Odds you could take
1 followers
In play now
No picks to play in Fútbol Europa Élite right now.
Scoreboard
settled automaticallyTipster total
Settled picks
38
Accuracy
69.4 %
Units
+0.84
Real yield
+1.4 %
Average CLV
−0.24 %
measured on 36 picks
Closing yield
+0.9 %
on 36 picks · at sealed odds: +1.5 % · CLV of those 36: −0.24 %
Bookmaker margin
0.88 %
average of 38 picks
Overall rating
46.0
provisionalBased on 38 settled picks. It becomes final at 80.
Not selling subscriptions yet
1/4Here you only get to charge once you have proven it with numbers, and these are theirs right now. Nobody decides it by looking at them: either they meet them or they do not.
- Weighted yield: 8.5% of 4%
- Rating: 48.7 of 55
- Settled picks: 24 of 100
- Days since your first pick: 19 of 30
In this speciality — Fútbol Europa Élite
Rating (0-100)
48.7
provisionalBased on 24 settled picks. It becomes final at 80.
Current streak
▲ 1
wins in a row
best streak 6 · worst streak 2
best streak 6 · worst streak 2
Could be copied
19 276 €
Median money the market took at their price, across the 24 picks with measured liquidity. A yield built on picks that hold fifteen euros is not replicable.
Money the market took
19 276 €
Median amount the market accepted at the sealed price, across 24 measured picks. The tightest one took 133 €.
Average odds
1.56
Over a few dozen picks, the actual result is mostly noise. The signal of judgement is beating the market's closing price — this separates the two.
Expected by CLVActually won
+4.90−0.7
0/0 months closed in profit
- +2.2in progress
The yield published everywhere is the one from the exact second the tipster sends the pick. You get there a few minutes later, and by then the odds have moved. This is what you would have got.
| Delay | picks | Odds movement | Tipster's yield | Your yield | Retained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 min | 23 | +0.1 % | +6.2 % | +6.3 % | 102 % |
| 5 min | 23 | 0.0 % | +6.2 % | +6.2 % | 100 % |
| 15 min | 23 | 0.0 % | +6.2 % | +6.3 % | 102 % |
| 60 min | 22 | −0.5 % | +9.3 % | +8.7 % | 94 % |
Worked out from the market's own price history: for each pick we check which odds were still available after those minutes. Picks we could not measure are left out, and voided ones too. Odds shortening is not a bad sign — it usually means the market agreed with them.
Where they build their record, and with what result, sorted by number of picks. The yield is the real, unweighted one, same as everywhere else on this page.
| Competition | picks | Accuracy | units | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 9 | 88 % | +3.4 | +18.8 % |
| Serie A | 6 | 50 % | −2.2 | −31.8 % |
| Premier League | 3 |
▸ Rating breakdown
- Weighted yield
- 54.3 (8.5 %)
- Consistency
- 20.4 (33 % positive weeks, drawdown over amount staked 13.0 %)
- Calibrated CLV
- 50.4 (avg. CLV 0.35 %)
- Discipline
- 78.5
Ratings and comments
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