The King Analista

The King Analista Founder

Especialista en NBA. Nuestros mercados secundarios serán: MLB, Fútbol Español, Champions League, y Baloncesto FIBA.

THIRDDeporte USA/Canadá · FAVOURITES100% in their band

Their verified record

Settled picks
1
Accuracy
100.0%
Units
+3.32
Real yield
+66.5%
Average CLV
-0.58%
measured on 1 picks
Bookmaker margin
0.84%
average of 1 picks
VolumeRiskCLVConsistencySpecialization
1 followers

Not selling subscriptions yet

2/4

Here you only get to charge once you have proven it with numbers, and these are theirs right now. Nobody decides it by looking at them: either they meet them or they do not.

  • Weighted yield: 66.5% of 4%
  • Rating: 59.2 of 55
  • Settled picks: 1 of 150
  • Days since your first pick: 0 of 50
Rating (0-100)
Shown once 80 settled picks are reached. 79 to go.
Current streak
1
wins in a row
best streak 1 · worst streak 0
Could be copied
12,877
Median money the market took at their price, across the 1 picks with measured liquidity. A yield built on picks that hold fifteen euros is not replicable.
Average odds
1.70

Not enough settled history yet to chart.

Skill vs luck

Over a few dozen picks, the actual result is mostly noise. The signal of judgement is beating the market's closing price — this separates the two.

Expected by CLV
-0.0 units

What this history should have returned if every pick paid exactly its edge over the close.

Actually won
+3.3 units

The real result of those same picks.

Gap (variance)
+3.4 units

Running hot: the result is ahead of what the edge justifies.

Over 1 picks with a closing price. The gap is variance and shrinks as the sample grows: long term, results converge to what the edge justifies.

Month-by-month result

1/1 months closed in profit

  • +3.3
    Aug

What is left if you arrive late

The yield published everywhere is the one from the exact second the tipster sends the pick. You get there a few minutes later, and by then the odds have moved. This is what you would have got.

DelaypicksOdds movementTipster's yieldYour yieldRetained
2 min10.0%+66.5%+66.5%100%
5 min10.0%+66.5%+66.5%100%
15 min10.0%+66.5%+66.5%100%

Worked out from the market's own price history: for each pick we check which odds were still available after those minutes. Picks we could not measure are left out, and voided ones too. Odds shortening is not a bad sign — it usually means the market agreed with them.

Performance by competition

Where they build their record, and with what result, sorted by number of picks. The yield is the real, unweighted one, same as everywhere else on this page.

CompetitionpicksAccuracyunitsYield
MLB1100%+3.3+66.5%
Rating breakdown
Weighted yield
56.3 (66.5%)
Consistency
50.0 (100% positive months, max. drawdown 0.0%)
Calibrated CLV
49.9 (avg. CLV -0.58%)
Discipline
94.7

Latest picks

  • MLB Miami Marlins vs Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox

    Odds 1.70sealed at Betfair Exchange
    WON

Ratings and comments

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