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In this speciality — Fútbol Europa Élite
Tipster total
Breakdown by speciality
- Fútbol Europa Éliteyou are here1 · +5.22 units
- Fútbol Europa Segunda Línea1 · +2.85 units
Every yield on this page is the real one, unweighted. The one weighted by competition and bookmaker liquidity — the one that feeds the rating, and which does not match this one — lives in the rating breakdown further down.
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2/4Here you only get to charge once you have proven it with numbers, and these are theirs right now. Nobody decides it by looking at them: either they meet them or they do not.
- Weighted yield: 104.5% of 4%
- Rating: 58.0 of 55
- Settled picks: 1 of 150
- Days since your first pick: 7 of 30
In this speciality — Fútbol Europa Élite
best streak 1 · worst streak 0
Not enough settled history yet to chart.
Skill vs luck
Over a few dozen picks, the actual result is mostly noise. The signal of judgement is beating the market's closing price — this separates the two.
What this history should have returned if every pick paid exactly its edge over the close.
The real result of those same picks.
Running hot: the result is ahead of what the edge justifies.
Over 1 picks with a closing price. The gap is variance and shrinks as the sample grows: long term, results converge to what the edge justifies.
Month-by-month result
1/1 months closed in profit
- +5.2Aug
What is left if you arrive late
The yield published everywhere is the one from the exact second the tipster sends the pick. You get there a few minutes later, and by then the odds have moved. This is what you would have got.
| Delay | picks | Odds movement | Tipster's yield | Your yield | Retained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 min | 1 | 0.0% | +104.5% | +104.5% | 100% |
| 5 min | 1 | 0.0% | +104.5% | +104.5% | 100% |
| 15 min | 1 | 0.0% | +104.5% | +104.5% | 100% |
| 60 min | 1 | +1.0% | +104.5% | +106.4% | 102% |
Worked out from the market's own price history: for each pick we check which odds were still available after those minutes. Picks we could not measure are left out, and voided ones too. Odds shortening is not a bad sign — it usually means the market agreed with them.
Performance by competition
Where they build their record, and with what result, sorted by number of picks. The yield is the real, unweighted one, same as everywhere else on this page.
| Competition | picks | Accuracy | units | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 1 | 100% | +5.2 | +104.5% |
▸ Rating breakdown
- Weighted yield
- 52.9 (104.5%)
- Consistency
- 50.0 (not enough periods to measure it)
- Calibrated CLV
- 50.4 (avg. CLV 5.00%)
- Discipline
- 94.9
Division history
- 2026-08THIRD1 picks
Latest picks
- WON
La Liga — FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano — Yes
Odds 2.10sealed at Betfair Exchange
Ratings and comments
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